A few weeks ago, we published an article that characterized Gilead (GILD) as a “Value Trap.” That article was a follow-up to an earlier article which used our work on Gilead as an example of how a solid conceptual framework could help investors make better decisions. Both of these articles were based on a 16-page valuation report on Gilead we published to our members in September, 2016.
We caught a lot of flack for the recent characterization of Gilead as a value trap, but our opinion was redeemed on February 7th, when the stock fell heavily after a disappointing earnings announcement.
In today’s article, we’ll take another look at the valuation process – the most important weapon in an investor’s arsenal – in a continuation of the Gilead example. We would invite new readers to read through each of the earlier articles as well, to get a picture of the overall process!
Investing Anecdotes are Dangerous!
What interested us in September 2016, when we made our original analysis of Gilead, was the noise among the value investing community about what a deal Gilead was because the stock was trading at such a low Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio (See our article Three Things You Should Know About Gilead).
Best Low Price Stocks To Buy For 2018: INC Research Holdings, Inc.(INCR)
- [By WWW.GURUFOCUS.COM]
For the details of LEE THOMAS H PARTNERS LP’s stock buys and sells, go to www.gurufocus.com/StockBuy.php?GuruName=LEE+THOMAS+H+PARTNERS+LP
These are the top 5 holdings of LEE THOMAS H PARTNERS LPINC Research Holdings Inc (INCR) – 25,174,838 shares, 38.1% of the total portfolio. New PositionParty City Holdco Inc (PRTY) – 65,157,952 shares, 25.55% of the total portfolio. West Corp (WSTC) – 18,099,239 shares, 12.29% of the total portfolio. MoneyGram International Inc (MGI) – 23,604,607 shares, 11% of the total portfolio. Fogo de Chao Inc (FOGO) – 17,053,123 shares, 6.12% of the total portfo
Best Low Price Stocks To Buy For 2018: Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated(RGA)
- [By David Sterman]
My favorite insurers: AIG (NYSE: AIG) (which I discussed a few months ago), Protective Life (NYSE: PL) and Reinsurance Group of America (NYSE: RGA).
- [By Benzinga News Desk]
Morgan Stanley downgraded Chipotle (NYSE: CMG) to Equal-Weight.
UBS downgraded AMC Networks (NASDAQ: AMCX) to Sell.
Citi upgraded Sealed Air (NYSE: SEE) to Buy.
Goldman Sachs upgraded Reinsurance Group (NYSE: RGA) to Buy.
Best Low Price Stocks To Buy For 2018: Lam Research Corporation(LRCX)
- [By WWW.MONEYSHOW.COM]
Lam Research (LRCX) has consistently outgrown the overall semiconductor-equipment market due to its high exposure to 3D NAND flash memory.
Demand for wafer-fabrication equipment is notoriously volatile. However, over the last 90 days, the consensus profit estimate for this year jumped 17%, with 95% of analysts raising their targets.
- [By Garrett Baldwin]
Market fears of an escalating Middle Eastern conflict abated thanks to last week’s military strikes against the Syrian government. On Friday, April 13, U.S. forces joined the United Kingdom and France in retaliation for a chemical gas attack carried out by the Syrian government. The military exercise came at a time that tensions are also rising in the Middle East between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
Today, several members of the U.S. Federal Reserve will be speaking at events around the globe, including San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Chicago Fed Bank President Charles Evans. But no one will be more watched today than Fed Gov. Randal Quarles, who will testify before the U.S. House Financial Services Commission. Quarles will provide testimony on the central bank’s plans to regulate and oversee the financial system. Expect a wealth of questions about the Fed’s plans to raise interest rates and manage its massive balance sheet. Money MorningLiquidity SpecialistLee Adler offers you advice on how to play the Fed’s problems, right here.
Four Stocks to Watch Today: GS, NFLX, TSLA, and ROKU
Shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) added 0.6% after the Wall Street bank easily topped Q1 earnings and revenue estimates. The firm reportedearnings per share (EPS) of $6.95 on top of more than $10 billion in revenue. Analysts projected EPS of $5.67 on top of $8.89 billion. The investment bank hiked its quarterly dividend and said that revenue from equity trading rallied thanks to an uptick in recent market volatility.
Shares of Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: TSLA) are flat on the news that the firm will suspend production of its Model 3 vehicles. The firm said the temporary halt in production will aim to “improve automation” and address ongoing bottlenecks in its production process.
Shares of Roku Inc. (Nasdaq: ROKU) popped more than 8.2% on news that Steven Cohen’s family office has taken a passive 5.1% stake in the company. The streaming device manufactur
- [By ]
Real Money columnist James DePorre says, “The rotational action is the main theme today. We have weakness in semiconductors after a good bounce Tuesday, in large part due to a poor reaction to quarterly results from Lam Research (LRCX) . Financials are still struggling although Morgan Stanley (MS) is helping the group.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Lam Research (LRCX) soared to the top of the S&P 500 today after beating earnings forecasts and raising its fourth-quarter guidance.
Lam Researchgained 6.9% to $136.17 today, while the S&P 500 declined 0.2% to 2,338.17.
Credit Suisse analysts Farhan Ahmad and John Pitzer and argues that Lam Research’s “new trough is higher than [its] old peak.” They explain:
We expect that bears will continue to argue that CY17 is a “Peak” year; however we think that investors are missing that it now costs >2x more to get incremental bit growth than three years ago. It is noteworthy that despite ~$17bn of memory WFE in 2016 both NAND and DRAM markets went from oversupply to undersupply – implying that new trough for memory investments is even higher than old peak (2010 memory peak had WFE of $12.6bn). We view Semi Growth, rising capital intensity, and growing China CapEx as secular multiyear themes, which could continue to provide growth in coming years. In addition, in case of tax reform there could be potential to return >$50 per share to shareholders by 2020…Increase TP to $160 (from $143), based on 12x of CY18 EPS plus net cash adj for taxes.
Lam Research’s market capitalization rose to $22.2 billion today from $20.8 billion yesterday.
Best Low Price Stocks To Buy For 2018: Reynolds American Inc(RAI)
- [By Leo Sun]
With interest rates set to rise this year, many dividend investors are likely worried that their stocks will slip as bond yields become more attractive. While some dividend stocks will inevitably decline, investors can still find some low-risk income plays that have high yields and cheap valuations. Let’s take a look at three such stocks — AT&T (NYSE:T), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), and Reynolds American (NYSE:RAI).
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Just before 1pm today, shares of Reynolds American (RAI) took a sudden nosedive on reports that its merger with British American Tobacco (BTI) had “hit a snag” according to StreetInsider.com. Cowen’s Vivien Azer and team still think a deal gets done:
Street Insider is reporting that BATS’ acquisition of RAI has “hit a snag,” and that “a potential transaction may be less likely near-term.” We view this source as less credible (vs. a WSJ or CNBC), in particular given the scant level of detail. While the delay in a consummated deal has extended longer than we thought, we still view the deal as likely (85% probability).
Shares of Reynolds American have dropped 1.3% to $55.47 at 2:26 p.m. today, while British American Tobacco has declined 0.2% to $112.71. Shares of Philip Morris International (PM), which could be interested in an acquisition of Altria Group (MO), have fallen 1% to$90.28 after getting cut toNeutral from Buy at BofA Merrill Lynch, while Altria has risen 0.5% to$67.94 after getting upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Merrill.
- [By Rich Duprey, Demitrios Kalogeropoulos, and Brian Feroldi]
It remains true that the tobacco industry will continue coming under pressure from anti-smoking activists, politicians, and regulators who seek to stub out cigarettes further by raising taxes on smokes, but companies such as Altria and Reynolds American (NYSE:RAI) are largely able to offset their impact on profits by raising prices. The ability to command such pricing power without an overly large loss of customers obviously speaks to the addictive qualities of smoking but is also an otherwise enviable position to be in.
Best Low Price Stocks To Buy For 2018: Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.(NGVC)
- [By Peter Graham]
A long term performance chart for Whole Foods Market shows along with mid cap peerSprouts Farmers Market Inc (NASDAQ: SFM) and Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NYSE: NGVC) largely drifting lower with two price spikes:
- [By Peter Graham]
A long term performance chart for Whole Foods Market shows along with mid cap peerSprouts Farmers Market Inc (NASDAQ: SFM) and Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NYSE: NGVC) appearing to all be in downtrends that may or may not have leveled off:
- [By Lisa Levin]
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NYSE: NGVC) was down, falling around 33 percent to $5.70 as the company posted downbeat quarterly results and lowered its FY17 earnings guidance.
- [By Peter Graham]
A long term performance chart for Whole Foods Market shows shares still lower than they were five years ago whilepeers in the organic space like Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (NASDAQ: SFM) and Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NYSE: NGVC) have performed worst: